Kentucky is the newest track on the Nascar Sprint Cup circuit, and it has only been won at by three different drivers. Matt Kenseth, Brad Keslowski, and Kyle Busch can all look forward to this weekend, but everyone else is just trying to learn how to get around this place. And the track has now been repaved and has had banking added in the corners. So overall, this weekend could be interesting.

Kyle Busch won the first Sprint Cup race here in 2011, and he won last year’s as well. Now that he seems to be past his June slump, ‘Rowdy’ is looking good. Teammates Matt Kenseth, Carl Edwards, and Denny Hamlin have been good at the intermediate tracks this year, and last year all four Joe Gibbs Racing drivers finished in the top-five. Look out for JGR.

Team Penske is the only other team to win at Kentucky in the Cup Series, with Brad Keslowski winning  in 2012, and again in 2014. Brad is on a hot streak, so he is a good candidate for a win this weekend. As much as I hate to admit it, Joey Logano is also a good pick this weekend. Logano has run well as of late, and he was second in this race last year. Both Penske drivers are good, but how will they adapt to the new track surface?

Martin Truex Jr. should also run at the front. Truex has been dominate this year at 1.5 mile tracks, and I don’t see why he wouldn’t continue this weekend. But, he and his crew have to avoid making more heart-wrenching mistakes.

A Chevrolet has never won at Kentucky, and they’ve been close. The past two wins by Chevy this year have come from Stewart-Hass Racing. Kurt Busch is the most consistent driver this year, and intermediate tracks are his specialty. Kevin Harvick has been good, but not great this year, so he will be near the front, but I doubt he’ll be out front. Danica Patrick is once again the team’s weak link. For some reason her and crew chief Billy Scott still haven’t been able to recapture Danica’s 2014 speed. Tony Stewart is coming into Kentucky in the Chase and coming off some good races, so a good run seems possible. But Stewart hasn’t had very good finish’s at Kentucky. Still, he’s had a great run at Michigan under the even lower downforce package, so he could have a decent run this weekend.

Hendrick Motorsports is confusing me. They seem to be fading, yet they have 3 drivers in the Chase right now. Jimmie Johnson, Kasey Kahne, and Dale Earnhardt Jr. are not in contention for wins right now, and they don’t seem to be getting better. The team’s one ray of hope is Chase Elliot. The rookie has been out-performing all his teammates, and a win seems inevitable. Could it come in the Blue Grass State? Don’t bet against him. Chase has excelled on 1.5 mile tracks, and he wants nothing more than a win.

Richard Childress Racing seems to be gaining speed. Right now both Ryan Newman and Austin Dillon are in the Chase on points, and Dillon seems to be nearing a win. It could come at Kentucky, seeing as Dillon has been at the top of his game at the 1.5 mile tracks.

Also, don’t forget Kyle Larson and Jamie McMurray. McMurray finished second here a couple years ago, and Larson’s been killing it at 1.5 mile tracks.

So, who will win in the blue Grass State? Well, I think that Elliot, Dillon, Kyle Larson, and Kyle Busch are good picks. Dillon, Larson, and Elliot have been great at the intermediate tracks this year, and a win from at least one of them seems so close. And Busch is just plain fast at Kentucky. All four seems good, but only one can win. But which?