The Monster Mile. Home to some great races and some monstrous wrecks, this one mile concrete oval is either one of your best tracks or your worst. It has also become the personal playground of Jimmie Johnson.

Over his career, Johnson has won ten races here. That’s the most all time. The last year that he didn’t win here was 2011, and his last win here was in this race year ago. Ironically, this was also the track that put him out of the championship hunt last year. A broken part in his tires sent him to the garage, and it caused him to lose his spot in the Chase. Still, this without a doubt his best track.

But Johnson won’t be alone. Last year he wasn’t as dominate as he has been in the past. So could one of his teammates take his place? Dale Earnhardt Jr. and Kasey Kahne are not likely candidates. Kahne has never won here, and Jr. hasn’t won here since 2001. That leaves rookie Chase Elliot. Hate to break it to Chase, but Dover is not exactly friendly to rookies. Just ask Joey Logano, who barrel rolled his car here in his first full year of Cup  racing. This probably isn’t Chase’s weekend.

What about Joe Gibbs Racing? They enter this weekend on a roll. They have won five of the past six races, and 6 of this year’s 11. That’s good. And Dover is by no means a weak point. Kyle Busch and Matt Kenseth have won here twice each, and both have at least ten top-five finishes here. Carl Edwards has one win here, and an average finish of 10.8. Not bad. Denny Hamlin is the teams only weak link. He has never won here, and he has just three top-fives. Still, this is a formidable lineup.

Let’s not forget Martin Truex Jr. Truex Dominated this past weekend in Kansas, but a broken lug nut cost him the victory. Truex has been fast this year, and he has got to be  motivated now more than ever to win. So he could be a winner this weekend.

Stewart-Hass Racing is intriguing at Dover. Kevin Harvick won last year’s Dover race, and he finished second in the Spring race. Kurt Busch has won here, but his average finish isn’t very impressive. Danica Patrick is not good here, period. This is just not her place. Tony Stewart is the  teams most successful driver at Dover. He has three wins here, the latest of which came in Spring of 2013. Also, Stewart’s crew chief, Mike Bugarewicz, was the car chief for Kevin Harvick when he won the Fall race last year. That seems like a pretty good combination.

I feel that I need to mention Richard Childress Racing. It’s been a long time since that happened. But something has happened to that team this year. All three of it’s drivers are running well, and at least two seem capable of making the Chase this year. Austin Dillon has yet to win a race, but his speed this year has been outstanding, even at tracks he has had issues at previously. And him and Dover haven’t gotten along in the past. Maybe that changes this weekend. And Let’s not forget Ryan Newman. Ryan has three wins here, but none have come in the past decade. But that could change. Paul Menard is the one driver who doesn’t seem to be improving. But, he’s not fading.

Another team I haven’t had to mention in a while is Roush-Fenway Racing. While the teams longtime driver Greg Biffle isn’t showing much speed, young guns Ricky Stenhouse Jr. and Trevor Bayne seem to be on the upswing. Bayne has been leading laps and finishing in the top-fifteen, top-ten consistently, and Stenhouse has been doing similar. Neither is particularly good at Dover, but hey, things change.

So who do I think will win? Well, Jimmie Johnson is obviously a good choice. I will put him in my Fantasy Picks, but I’m also keeping an eye on Tony Stewart and Austin Dillon. Stewart seems to like the rules package given to drivers this year, and he want’s to win. Dillon is just outright fast, and a victory seems inevitable. So I think they merit watching along with Johnson. So let’s go racing.